London hedge fund uses social network to 'see the future'

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Egg
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London hedge fund uses social network to 'see the future'

Post by Egg » Wed Sep 14, 2011 2:09 pm

More web-bot sort of stuff.

Millions of messages about trivial matters are posted on Twitter every day, but one group of hedge fund managers are using them as a crystal ball for market fluctuations - and it's having a big impact.

Analysts at London’s Derwent Capital Markets - described as 'Europe's first social media-based hedge fund' - has launched a £25million fund based on research that suggests tweets foretell whether markets will go up or down.

It shows that if the mood of the population goes up, the market follows. The Mayfair company use a program that scans Twitter for keywords to work out what the world's 'mood' is - and invest money accordingly. And so far the results have been positive.

'Derwent Capital has reported a 1.8 per cent rise in their first month of trading when the U.S. main index has dropped by 2.2 per cent,' said Duane Jackson, who launched KashFlow, which is Britain’s best-selling cloud-based accountancy package, six years ago.

The Twitter-analysis program was written by Johan Bollen, professor of informatics and computing at Indiana University and he used it to predict market movements at the Dow Jones in New York with 87.6 per cent accuracy last October.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/ ... z1XrwpRckK


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Happyslap Buddha
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Re: London hedge fund uses social network to 'see the future

Post by Happyslap Buddha » Fri Sep 16, 2011 12:51 pm

Pretty interesting. I'm sure there's some truth to this...

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lkwalker
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Re: London hedge fund uses social network to 'see the future

Post by lkwalker » Fri Sep 16, 2011 1:01 pm

The web has linked our minds like pearls on a long strand in a single, conjoined world mind leading to a single thought. I think it will ultimately turn out to be, "Oh shit!". Which is the esoteric name for the Borg.
"If you don't think to good, don't think too much." Yogi

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Happyslap Buddha
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Re: London hedge fund uses social network to 'see the future

Post by Happyslap Buddha » Fri Sep 16, 2011 1:10 pm

They were already linked, the web just made it more obvious and feelable.

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lkwalker
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Re: London hedge fund uses social network to 'see the future

Post by lkwalker » Fri Sep 16, 2011 1:34 pm

Speculation vs reality. Reality wins in a walk.
"If you don't think to good, don't think too much." Yogi

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Royal
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Re: London hedge fund uses social network to 'see the future

Post by Royal » Fri Sep 16, 2011 1:41 pm

There was a show that talked about a random number generator of 1's and 0's that would be disproportionate during high energy events. It would make sense that expressive / random people may be used to measure the same thing. The theory gluing all this together would be alternative theories on the science of time. It's almost every day the physics community finds more information about the nature of light ability to flow backwards.

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Happyslap Buddha
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Re: London hedge fund uses social network to 'see the future

Post by Happyslap Buddha » Fri Sep 16, 2011 1:42 pm

It's almost every day the physics community finds more information about the nature of light ability to flow backwards.
Interesting. Got any links?

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Royal
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Re: London hedge fund uses social network to 'see the future

Post by Royal » Fri Sep 16, 2011 1:47 pm

Cockslap Buddha wrote:
It's almost every day the physics community finds more information about the nature of light ability to flow backwards.
Interesting. Got any links?
http://rochester.edu/news/show.php?id=2544

Lazy schmuck. :D

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lkwalker
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Re: London hedge fund uses social network to 'see the future

Post by lkwalker » Fri Sep 16, 2011 1:48 pm

Princeton egg. Google it.
"If you don't think to good, don't think too much." Yogi

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Royal
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Re: London hedge fund uses social network to 'see the future

Post by Royal » Fri Sep 16, 2011 1:54 pm

Now the next question would be, what receptors do we have that senses future events? If the web-bots and web-bot like software monitors people, what is monitoring within the human body to react in the first place?

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